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Jun 1997
ISBN 0262193728
336 pp.
23 illus.
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Models of Bounded Rationality - Vol. 3
Herbert A. Simon

Throughout Herbert Simon's wide-ranging career -- in public administration, business administration, economics, cognitive psychology, philosophy, artificial intelligence, and computer science -- his central aim has been to explain the nature of the thought processes that people use in making decisions.

The third volume of Simon's collected papers continues this theme, bringing together work on this and other economics-related topics that have occupied his attention in the 1980s and 1990s: how to represent causal ordering formally in dynamic systems, the implications for society of new electronic information systems, employee and managerial motivation in the business firm (specifically the implications for economics of the propensity of human beings to identify with the goals of organizations), and the state of economics itself.

Offering alternative models based on such concepts as satisficing (acceptance of viable choices that may not be the undiscoverable optimum) and bounded rationality (the limited extent to which rational calculation can direct human behavior), Simon shows concretely why more empirical research based on experiments and direct observation, rather than just statistical analysis of economic aggregates, is needed.

The twenty-seven articles, in five sections, each with an introduction by the author, examine the modeling of economic systems, technological change: information technology, motivation and the theory of the firm, and behavioral economics and bounded rationality.

Table of Contents
 Introduction
 Acknowledgments
I The Structure of Complex Systems
I.A Causal Ordering
I.1 Causality in Economic Models
I.2 Causal Ordering, Comparative Statics, and Near Decomposability
by With Y. Iwasaki
I.3 Causality and Model Abstraction
by With Y. Iwasaki
I.B Simulating Large Systems
I.4 Simulation of Large-scale Systems by Aggregation
I.5 Prediction and Prescription in Systems Modeling
II The Advance of Information Technology
II.1 The Rural-Urban Population Balance Again
II.2 The Impact of Electronic Communications on Organizations
II.3 The Steam Engine and the Computer: What Makes Technology Revolutionary
II.4 Managing in an Information-Rich World
II.5 On the Alienation of Workers and Management
III Motivation and the Theory of the Firm
III.1 A Mechanism for Social Selection and Successful Altruism
III.2 Organizations and Markets
III.3 Altruism and Economics: A Summary Statement
III.4 Altruism and Economics: Social Implications
IV Behavioral Economics and Bounded Rationality
IV.A Behavioral Economics
IV.1 Preface to Handbook of Behavioral Economics
IV.2 Behavioural Economics
IV.3 Bounded Rationality
IV.4 Satisficing
IV.B Empirical Methods in Economics
IV.5 Behavioral Research: Theory and Public Policy
IV.6 Methodological Foundations of Economics
 IV.7 Preface to La Théorie Moderne de l'Enterprise: L'Approche Institutionnelle
IV.C Initial and Boundary Conditions in Economic Theory
IV.8 On the Behavioral and Rational Foundations of Economic Dynamics
IV.9 Rationality in Psychology and Economics
IV.D The State of Economic Science
IV.10 The Failure of Armchair Economics
IV.11 Why Economists Disagree
IV.12 The State of Economic Science
IV.E Economic Reasoning in Words and Pictures
IV.13 Effect of Mode of Data Presentation on Reasoning about Economic Markets
by With H. J. M. Tabachneck
 Index
 
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